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Saturday's ITV Racing tips - Team tips for the big televised races at Kempton and Warwick

A view of the finish in Kempton's Lanzarote Hurdle.

Here are our team tips for the big televised races at Kempton and Warwick, with races like the Classic Chase and the Lanzarote Hurdle being covered on Saturday 12th January.

Brian's Classic Chase Tips

A few of these are in their veteran years, and several look high enough in the weights; however, CAROLE’S DESTRIER despite falling into the veteran’s category is one who is well handicapped on the pick of his form, and Neil Mulholland’s charge can follow up his recent return to winning ways at Newbury,

The Kayf Tara found only the subsequent Cheltenham Gold Cup hero Native River too strong when narrowly denied behind that rival in the 2017 Hennessy Gold Cup, and while his form since has produced a mixed bag of results he didn’t get his favoured ground in several of his subsequent runs.

However, he bounced back on a better surface last time, beating Ballyhill a shade readily and the handicapper has only pushed him up 3lbs for that success. Assuming this doesn’t come too soon, he figures from a very winnable mark and if in similar form then he ought to go close.

Jon's Leamington Hurdle Tips

Birchdale clearly has plenty of supporters and Nicky Henderson’s novices have been in good form so far this season. Yet, at the odds, TIDAL FLOW makes the most appeal, having impressed more on his two starts to date.

Philip Hobbs’ charge made plenty of mistakes on his debut and wandered around before the last, but the way he recovered his composure and kept on to beat Before Midnight was impressive. Downtown Getaway is one of my horses to follow this season and Tidal Flow looked ripe for the picking as Henderson’s novice loomed up on his shoulder before the final flight. Richard Johnson’s mount, however, wasn’t for passing and kept on to score a mightily impressive victory.

Tidal Flow clocked an RPR of 141 at Newbury, some seven pounds clear of the mark Birchdale was handed for his maiden success. Both currently hold odds of 25/1 for the Ballymore, so there clearly isn’t much between them, but I fancy Tidal Flow to have the edge and hand Philip Hobbs and overdue Graded success.

Brian's Lanzarote Hurdle Tips

A winner of races at Towcester and Ascot previously, with the latter coming over this trip, the Great Pretender gelding remains unexposed over hurdles and may have been let in lightly on his handicap debut.

A five lengths’ victor over Renwick back in May, scoring easily, he was value for more than the official winning margin when beating Stoney Mountain latest despite hanging left on the run-in. That runner-up won next time out, and while he was no match for Rockpoint at Cheltenham subsequently in the Bristol Novices’ Hurdle he could do better back in trip.

He ran off a rating of 134 on that occasion, and stepping into a handicap here for the first time he could have more to offer if handling this much sharper track. He appeared to take a while to hit top gear at Cheltenham latest, not ideally positioned when the pace was cranked up a notch, but he kept on well nonetheless although he was always on the back foot.

This contest is normally run at a decent pace however which might help, and he has the scope to be a big player off this rating.

Jon's NAP of the day

Glen Rocco made strong late progress to finish second last time out, after sitting last for much of that two-and-a-half-mile handicap. That was, however, a strange race from a tactical stand-point and it’s hard to say whether he was just passing beaten horses or genuinely improving as the race wore on.

Never the less, he will have his supporters, as will the ever-consistent Ballykan. Yet, I feel BARNEY DWAN is still the classiest horse in this race and Fergal O’Brien’s chaser can get back to winning ways at Kempton.

Barney Dwan made his return to action in a hot race at Newbury in the autumn, where he finished ten lengths behind Charbel and Baron Alco as they fought out the finish. O’Brien’s nine-year-old then recovered well from some early mistakes to be in there with a chance approaching the last at Bangor. Sadly, Barney Dwan was a little one-paced in the closing stages, as Yala Enki got the better of Sir Mangan.

The form of both of both of those races has been boosted and there’s no doubting Barney Dwan improved between runs. All of his last three victories have come on flat, right-handed tracks like this and first-time cheekpieces could help Noel Fehily’s mount keep his mind on the task at hand.

ITV Racing Double

It’s interesting to see Derek O’Connor take the ride on OK Corral, considering Barry Geraghty is in Warwick to partner Birchdale in the Leamington. Nicky Henderson’s charge ran a decent race on his chasing debut, scoring a narrow victory when carrying an odds-on price to post, but he’s unlikely to enjoy the good ground and ROCKY’S TREASURE looks hard to oppose.

Kim Bailey’s charge has barely put a foot wrong over fences, winning four of his five starts by 15 lengths or more. Rocky’s Treasure has suffered defeat just once, coming out four lengths behind Santini in the John Francombe at Newbury, where David Bass’ mount jumped well again before being outclassed in the closing stages.

It’s no surprise to see Rocky’s Treasure sitting so prominently in the betting for the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham, as Kim Bailey’s mount jumps so well and looks a very hardy stayer. He should get this double off to a winning start.

It will then be over to CHARBEL at Kempton, as he clashes with Top Notch and Black Corton. While both are dangerous opposition, Kim Bailey’s charge has rediscovered his mojo over recent months and looks capable of continuing his excellent run of form.

Charbel finally found his winning touch at Newbury in October, narrowly defeating Baron Alco when giving almost a stone to the future BetVictor Gold Cup winner. After pushing Politologue close in the Christy Chase, Charbel trounced his rivals in the Peterborough Chase, destroying God’s Own and Tea For Two by eight lengths.

With David Bass in Warwick, Noel Fehily takes the ride again and Charbel certainly has the quality to give Kim Bailey a quick-time across-the-cards double.

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Saturday's ITV Racing tips - Team tips for the big televised races at Kempton and Warwick

Here are our team tips for the big televised races at Kempton and Warwick, with races like the Classic Chase and the Lanzarote Hurdle being covered on Saturday 12th January.

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