2020 Brown Advisory Plate tips – Two tips for St Patrick’s day
Brown Advisory Plate Tips
Jon Vine takes a look through the betting for this handicap chase on day three of the Cheltenham Festival and provides readers with two Brown Advisory Plate tips on Thursday 12th March.
Once the Stayers’ Hurdle winner has made his way off the track, a field of classy handicap chasers will battle it out in the Brown Advisory Plate. Having tipped the first and second past the post – Road To Respect and Baron Alco – in 2017, I celebrated another big victory in the Plate 12 months ago, as my main selection, Siruh Du Lac got the better of Janika in a thrilling contest.
I’ve taken a look back at the last decade of results in the Plate and listed three key trends. I’ve also cast my eye through the ante-post betting for this day three handicap chase and picked out two Brown Advisory Plate tips.
Three Key Trends
- All of the last ten winners had won between 19f and 21f
- Eight of the last ten winners had experience running in Graded races
- Eight of the last ten winners had won that season
Classy Chaser To Watch
Shattered Love (16/1 Unibet), who won the Marsh Novices’ Chase back in 2018, has the option of running here. Gordon Elliott’s tried and failed to make his mare into a Gold Cup horse last season, but Shattered Love has looked more like her old self over shorter trips this term and could be a massive player if she was dropped into handicap company. Shattered Love could be a popular each-way Cheltenham Festival tip, whatever race she turns up in.
Brown Advisory Plate Tips – Tip One
Simply The Betts tops the Cheltenham Festival betting and looks a worthy favourite, based on the style of his Trials Day triumph over Imperial Aura. That being said, I was really impressed with CLONDAW CASTLE’S (20/1 William Hill) recent victory at Warwick, and I fancy there’s more progression yet to come from Tom George’s eight-year-old.
I ignored Clondaw Castle that day, thinking he was a non-stayer after a limp effort in the BetVictor Gold Cup. Tom George’s charge didn’t half prove me wrong, though. Paddy Brennan’s mount tanked through the race, cruising past Two Taffs before securing an easy four length victory.
Clondaw Castle placed fourth in the Arkle at the Cheltenham Festival, and the Manifesto at Aintree as a novice last season. He comes into this handicap on the back of a career-best effort and, if the likes of Cepage and Lalor make an appearance, he could be left carrying a weight around the 11-06 mark. Clondaw Castle will be the first of my Brown Advisory Plate tips.
Brown Advisory Plate Tips – Tip Two
MISTER WHITAKER (20/1 Unibet) initially featured in the first section of this article. However, when Ex Patriot didn’t appear in the list of entries, I’ve decided to side with Mick Channon’s charge as my second selection.
Mister Whitacker’s last three victories have come over course-and-distance, the last of those at Cheltenham’s April meeting last season. During his novice campaign, Channon’s charge won nicely at on Trials Day, before following up with a fantastic victory in the Northern Trust Handicap on day one.
Channon has since tried his former Festival winner over three miles, but this is clearly his best trip. A mark of 152 should see Mister Whitaker carry a weight around the 11-09 mark into battle, and he certainly has enough class to mount a winning challenge. He’ll be my second of my each-way Cheltenham Festival tips.